This is from zerohedge. Here is the link, and a excerpt. It is a Great Internet Article, and in the comments someone even breaks down state by state how Obama will do. It is a very well written piece, and you should make it your MUST READ of the day.
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-obama-will-lose-2012
Submitted by Charles Hugh Smith from Of Two Minds
Obama Will Lose in 2012
Predicting that Obama will be a one-term president is easy: Americans vote their pocketbooks.
There is nothing remotely ideological or personal in my prediction that President Obama will lose the 2012 election.
Both parties are equally out of touch with reality in my view, and both
suppport the same things: a global Empire, an increasingly intrusive
Savior State, a shadow banking system which is no longer under the
control of State institutions (rather, the banks control the
institutions), and various crony-capitalist cartels which fund political
campaigns and partner with the Central State's bloated, unaccountable
fiefdoms. The only visible difference between the two parties is slight
variations in the relative growth rates of the most-favored cartels and
fiefdoms.
President Obama seems like a nice guy. Many people said
the same thing about George W. Bush. While a likeable personality is a
plus in a media-obsessed society, American elections boil down to this: Americans vote their pocketbook, and their pocketbooks will be a lot lighter by November 2012.
AND another little excerpt:
Obama has lost his "progressive" base, because he's done nothing remotely progressive.
He has lost the middle because his Administration has overseen their
gradual impoverishment at the hands of Financial Power Elites. He has
offered them phony facsimiles of reform slicked down with the tiresome
"soaring rhetoric" of a con artist so besotted with his own story that
he actually believes the BS himself.
He can count on the
public-union vote and a few of the State fiefdoms he's enriched and
enlarged at the expense of the common good, but as the addict (the
economy) goes downhill, slowly destroyed by the ever-larger doses of
smack administered by the Fed and the Central State, then the consent of
the governed will be irrevocably lost--not just by President Obama, but
by the entire Status Quo.
The President is now a candidate
hoping to scoop up a cool $1 billion to blow on another long, greasy
media blitz, but I would be surprised if he rakes in much from the
commoners and serfs straining to keep the wheels of their household
finances turning. He will of course collect big bucks from various
crony-cartels and contractors who have benefited from his bogus
"reforms" and unstinting support of the banking sector, but his
true-believer supporters will be thinned down to a few Elites, die-hard
Democratic hacks and the delusional by mid-2012.
His opponents
may fare little better unless they are willing to tackle the dominance
of crony cartels, government fiefdoms and Financial Power Elites whose
fat fingers remain firmly on the throat of the fast-expiring nation.
Squeeky Fromm, Girl Reporter
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